Putting the Pollsters to the test

[DJW]

Originally Posted by Lefty

You need to do a little research Squidly. Rasmussen is the laughing stock of polling organizations. They don't even do their own polling, they outsource it to a robo-calling organization and get answers from whoever answers, including seven year olds. Google rasmussen polling methods if you want to read some funny $hit. Rasmussen is nothing more than a Fox propaganda arm. The reason they always are in their margin of error is that they always have by far the largest margin for error. They're a fukin' joke.

Gallup is honest.

My recollection is that Rasmussen was the closest to the tee in Both 2008 and 2010. We'll see how they do this year, that's what this thread is all about.

Right now they have it Romney 49-Obama 47 -
Real Clear Politics has an average of Romney 47.8 (48) and Obama 47.1 (47) so within a single point of what Rasmussen is saying.

Gallup still has it Romney +6, significantly more in Romney's favor that either Rasmussen or the RCP average.

[DJW]

13 days to go...

Gallup Romney 50-Obama 47-Other 3

Rasmussen Romney 50-Obama 46 - Other 4

RCP Romney 47.8-Obama 47.2

[DJW]

8 days to go...

Gallup Romney 50 - Obama 46 - Other 4

Rasmussen Romney 50 - Obama 47 - Other -3

RCP Romney - 47.7 Obama 46.8

Early voting is now in high gear too...

[thrasher]

[<G Man>]

Heeyyyyyy!

How many days to go? What are the poll numbers?

I don't know what I should do.

[huskerbob]

Originally Posted by DJW

8 days to go...

Gallup Romney 50 - Obama 46 - Other 4

Rasmussen Romney 50 - Obama 47 - Other -3

RCP Romney - 47.7 Obama 46.8

Early voting is now in high gear too...

Well, i'd say that settles it!!! Never seen well known national pollster/media be wrong.......

[Lefty]

I'm looking forward to a nightmare finish - Mittens winning the popular vote and The One winning the electoral college vote. It's gonna be a mess.

[RGRider]

http://www.v-twinforum.com/forums/re...going-win.html

Make a post ^^^^^. Let's see how YOU think it will turn out.

[boston62]

Nov 6th will be here soon, and end this. I hope we can bring this Congress to do something besides getting paid. They really suck big time, signing a pledge to someone instead of signing a pledge with the American People to do their job...oh wait they did sign with us, hell **** can them all.

Sent from my SCH-I535 using Motorcycle.com App

[DJW]

1 week from today.

Gallup Romney 51-46
Rasmussen Romney 49-47
RCP Romney 48-47

[DJW]

It appears that the numbers above this post will remain the final poll. We'll have to use those numbers to compare the actual voting come Wednesday Nov 7.

Gallup has suspended it's tracking poll due to Hurricane Sandy. They feel that they cannot get a fair sample due to communication failures in the Northeast. Very interesting.

Rasmussen has not pulled their plug they still have it Romney 49-47 with 3% undecided and 1% for "other."

Due to Gallup pulling out, the RCP poll is no longer valid (IMO), if it ever was, so we'll just leave that where it ended on Tuesday: Romney 48-47.

Looking at a few swing states:

Rasmussen:
Ohio Romney 51-48
Virginia Romney 50-47
Colorado Romney 50-47
Florida Romney 50-48
Wisconsin tied 47
Iowa Romney 49-48
Colorado Romney 50-47
New Hampshire Romney 50-48
Nevada Obama 50-48

[Tequila SG]

Originally Posted by Fred1369

If Romney wins I don't think the MSM will rag on him as much as FOX has ragged on Obama.

First Obumer has plenty to be raged on, and for any Republican not only MSN, but CNN, ABC, NBC, MSNBC, CBS,rag on them, every time there is a republican president that can't even fart without being criticized, only FOX picks on the Dem president, did you ever remember hearing any news agency mention anything about Chelsy Clinton's failed marriage that lasted but a couple of months?, what would you think would have happen if Clinton was a Rep, headlines for two months, yet the Bush girls couldn't even walk into a disco on a sat night and it was all wrong.
The left media picks on the Reps, Fox on the Dem and the Reps, the ratio is 6 to 1.
BTW any news media mentioning the Libya terrorist attack other than FOX, thank you. Bet you anything that if Romney wins, the liberal media would be all over him to "solve" the problem, to bring to justice the guilty ones, he will be accuse that is taking to long that they want transparency on and on.

[DJW]

Only one poll left that matters - the will of the people. Unless things are incredibly close in Ohio, which is eminently possible, we will know soon whether the polls were accurate. However, if Ohio is unable to declare a winner until December it will be long miserable waiting game with lots of "lawyers, guns, and money."

When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation...

[thrasher]

Originally Posted by Fred1369

If Romney wins I don't think the MSM will rag on him as much as FOX has ragged on Obama.

Pretty accurate.

[thrasher]

Originally Posted by DJW

With just about 2 weeks to go till the election...let's see how the pollsters do.

I will skip the silly polls and just stick with the polls of "likely voters" because those are the only people that matter in the end. (VOTE!)

So how did the polls of likely voters work out for you? It appears that the polls that you consider silly polls were much more realistic.